
A former US fighter pilot who now flies commercial aircraft has shared his theory about what may have caused the Learjet plane to plunge thousands of feet before crashing into a Florida neighborhood, killing all nine people on board.
Ryan, who runs the aviation YouTube channel Max Afterburner, has been examining the aircraft’s final moments, including its communications with air traffic control and the weather conditions it encountered.
The Bombardier Learjet 60 was flying at approximately 35,000 feet over South Florida on Sunday, traveling from Texas to the Bahamas, when it encountered severe weather conditions, with the pilot reporting both icing and turbulence in the audio.
Former fighter pilot reveals terrifying theory on Learjet incident
According to Ryan, the crew reported moderate turbulence and light clear icing, but initially indicated that the conditions were manageable, with the co-pilot subsequently requesting permission to climb to 37,000 feet after the aircraft began encountering precipitation.
Less than 30 seconds after reporting that the ice was manageable, the crew declared a Mayday, where the aircraft entered a rapid descent, reportedly losing altitude at around 10,000 feet per minute before crashing onto a Florida road.
Ryan believes the jet may have encountered a powerful storm core, potentially triggering a loss of control, but also raised the possibility of a phenomenon known as “Mach tuck” contributing to the disaster.
In his video, Ryan examined the aircraft’s flight path and highlighted a particularly concerning section of weather radar, explaining that the Learjet appeared to have flown into a storm core while travelling at around 35,000 feet.
The former fighter pilot warned that attempting to fly over powerful storm systems can be extremely dangerous, as they can develop rapidly and produce powerful updrafts.
He said: “They always told us in aviation, whether it was fighter jets, commercial aviation, never fly over top of one of these things.”
Explaining why, he added: “These storm cores build so fast. I mean, I’ve been flying next to these things and I’ve literally seen what looks like a couple thousand feet of increase in the size of the cloud over the course of like 15, 20 seconds.”
Ryan also highlighted the potential presence of hail and ice inside thunderstorms, suggesting these conditions could have contributed to the aircraft’s difficulties, especially after the crew had reported light clear icing despite the outside air temperature being approximately minus 47 degrees Celsius.
Ryan explained that ice crystals can potentially interfere with airspeed probes, while severe turbulence can make it difficult for pilots to maintain control of an aircraft.
He said the combination of those conditions could have been particularly dangerous.
The pilot also suggested that the crew’s decision to climb may have been an attempt to escape the storm, although he acknowledged that the precise reason for the manoeuvre was.
Ryan reconstructed the aircraft’s final moments using a graphic representation of its flight path, suggesting the jet began climbing after entering the storm core, before subsequently entering a steep dive.
At that point, he believes it may have exceeded its maximum operating speed of Mach 0.81, explaining that excessive speed can make an aircraft increasingly difficult to control, particularly if its flight surfaces have sustained damage.
The response suggested that investigators had already identified evidence of a possible breakup before the aircraft struck the ground.
“We do have some evidence that there was some breakup of the aircraft before impact,” the investigator said. “We’re still seeking to determine that.”
Ryan described the revelation as significant, suggesting it could help explain why the crew had been unable to recover from the dive.
“If part of the tail failed first, the dive was the result,” he explained. “Part of the tail fails, it goes into a dive, they can’t recover, and then Mach tuck is basically besides the point.”
What exactly is ‘Mach tuck’?
Ryan also explained the aerodynamic phenomenon known as Mach tuck, which he believes could be relevant to understanding the Learjet’s final moments.
“A Learjet 60’s maximum operating speed is Mach 0.81, but even below Mach 1, air speed over the top of a wing can reach the speed of sound and a shock wave forms,” he claimed.
“You go faster and that shock slides back along the wing and the center of lift slides back with it. So, the nose pitches down.
“Nose down means faster and faster means more nose down. So, it kind of feeds itself.
“If Mach tuck was involved, I don’t think it necessarily lit the match. I think it would be the gasoline on top of this because they’re flying through that storm core.”
Investigations still remain ongoing into the devastating crash that killed all nine people onboard.
💔 STELLA PARTON BREAKS HER SILENCE — What She Said About Dolly’s Health Has Fans Looking Back
Dolly Parton’s Sister Breaks Silence What Really Happened - GMT - G1
Stella Parton was born May 4, 1949, the sixth of twelve children raised by Robert Lee and Avie Lee Parton in Sevierville, Tennessee — a household defined by noise, limited money, and almost no privacy, the kind of environment that produced strong, determined personalities.
Stella was one of them.
By seven, she was appearing alongside her older sister Dolly on a Knoxville television program; by her teens, she was writing her own songs, though marriage and motherhood pulled music to the margins of her life for a stretch.
The dream never fully disappeared.

In 1967, she recorded a gospel album with her mother and sisters, and later worked clubs in Washington, D.C., before founding her own record label in 1975 and releasing “I Want to Hold You in My Dreams Tonight,” which climbed to number nine on the country charts.
Long before any of that commercial success, Stella had already shown a willingness to take positions others avoided.
At 26, amid backlash against Australian singer Olivia Newton-John for winning recognition in country music, Stella recorded “Ode to Olivia” in her defense — a stand that offered her no career benefit and real risk of criticism, but one she took anyway simply because she believed staying silent was the wrong choice.
That instinct defined the rest of her career: hits like “The Danger of a Stranger” and “Steady as the Rain” (written by Dolly) built a genuine, independent following, including in the U.K., while Stella also worked in New York theater and spoke openly, often controversially, about poverty, domestic violence, and the treatment of women in the music industry.
She was named the Christian Country Music Association’s Female Vocalist of the Year in 2004.
Through all of it, she remained defined publicly, more often than not, as simply “Dolly’s little sister” — a label she spent five decades quietly proving didn’t tell the full story.
That same directness is why her comments in the fall of 2025 carried real weight.
Stella had never positioned herself as the family’s image manager or spokesperson; she was, by reputation, someone who believed difficult truths shouldn’t stay hidden indefinitely.
What she described wasn’t dramatic or accusatory — it was a portrait of a woman who had spent years prioritizing everyone else’s needs over her own.
The context mattered.
Carl Dean, Dolly’s husband of nearly sixty years, died in March 2025 at 82, after a long illness during which Dolly had devoted herself almost entirely to his care.
She later acknowledged that in the process, she’d neglected her own health significantly.
The loss reverberated through the whole extended family — the Partons had lost three brothers in the years surrounding this period, compounding grief that, for a family that had once crowded twelve children into a single small home, meant losing pieces of a shared childhood one after another.
Stella herself went seven years without releasing new music during this stretch, later describing the period simply as one shaped by sorrow, while still speaking about the importance of finding moments of laughter within it.
Looking back, one moment reads very differently in hindsight than it did at the time: in late September 2025, Dolly postponed her planned Las Vegas residency, citing health challenges — a rare cancellation for a performer whose six-decade career had included very few of them.
At the time, most fans treated it as a minor, temporary setback.
Stella’s later reflections suggested the signs had actually been building for some time, visible to family in ways the public smile made easy to miss.
That concern crystallized publicly not long after, when Dolly’s younger sister Frieda posted a simple request on Facebook asking fans to pray for Dolly.
What looked at first like an ordinary, well-meaning gesture spread rapidly, sparking widespread speculation about how serious Dolly’s condition actually was.
Dolly herself responded directly within days, appearing in a video from a Grand Ole Opry commercial shoot, insisting with her familiar humor that she wasn’t finished yet — the now widely remembered “I ain’t dead yet” moment that briefly quieted public concern.
In the months that followed, the pattern repeated: reassuring updates about kidney stones, dehydration, and treatment, paired with continued work on new projects, right up until Dolly Parton’s death on August 25, 2026, at 80.
Looking back across that full timeline — the postponed residency, the family’s public worry, Stella’s own account of a sister who consistently deprioritized her own wellbeing — it becomes easier to see what the people closest to Dolly understood well before the rest of the world did: that the warmth and resilience the public saw every time she appeared on camera came at a real, largely invisible cost.